产业同构性可以促进贸易伙伴对中国的出口-《集美大学学报》（哲社版）

文章信息/Info

作者:: 朱珈慧1; 庄赟1; 2; 曾卫锋1; 2; （1.集美大学财经学院,福建厦门 361021；2.集美大学区域经济研究中心,福建厦门 361021）

Author(s):: ZHU Jia-hui1; ZHUANG Yun1; 2; ZENG Wei-feng1; 2; (1. College of Finance and Economics, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, China;2. Regional Economic Research Center, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, China)

Keywords:: trade partners of China; industrial isomorphism; export trade; Belt and Road initiative; estimation of system GMM

摘要:: 以世界投入产出表中的中国和其他41个国家为样本，根据凯恩斯主义的进口函数理论构建动态面板数据模型，利用两步系统GMM法对模型进行估计,表明:中国与世界主要国家之间的产业趋同程度的提高不仅不会抑制主要贸易伙伴对中国的出口，反而对这种出口会产生显著的促进作用，这说明在中国的主要贸易伙伴对中国的出口中产业内贸易的发展具有重要的作用。

Abstract:: Taking China and 41 other countries in the World Input and Output Table as a sample, and based on the theory of import function of Keynesianism and the two-step system GMM method, the estimates of the dynamic panel data model suggest: not only did the degree of industry convergence between China and the major countries in the world not inhibit the exports of China’s main trading partners to China, it would have a significant role in promoting these exports, which shows that development of intra-industry trade played an important role in the exports of these trade partners to China.