限硫令下超大集装箱船应对措施的经济性分析-《集美大学学报（自然科学版）》

文章信息/Info

Title:: Economic Analysis of Countermeasures for Super Large Container Ships under Sulfur Emission Control

作者:: 陈红彬1; 2; 刘伟1; 匡增杰3; （1.集美大学航海学院，厦门 361021；2.上海海事大学交通运输学院，上海 201306；3.上海海关学院海关经济系，上海 201306）

Author(s):: CHEN Hongbin1; 2; LIU Wei1; KUANG Zengjie3; （1.Navigation College,Jimei University，Xiamen 361021，China;2.School of Transport & Communications，Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 201306,China;3.Department of Customs Economy，Shanghai Customs College,Shanghai 201306,China）

Keywords:: engineering economics; sulfur emission control; countermeasures; economic analysis

摘要:: 为了分析限硫政策下，超大型船经营时不同应对措施的经济成本效益，研究不同措施下班轮企业的额外支出成本，以亚欧航线上20 000 TEU型船为例，以费用年值分析法和投资回收期分析法为主要分析方法，计算超大型集装箱船主要应对措施的经济效益。计算结果发现：1）在当前经济环境下，超大型集装箱船采取“加装脱硫设备”的措施较经济；2）通过对油价和LNG价格联动变化的敏感性分析得出，能源价格持续上升时，班轮企业采用LNG动力船舶将更为经济。该研究可为未来限硫规则下班轮企业的经营决策提供参考。

Abstract:: In order to analyze the economic cost-effectiveness of different countermeasures in the operation of super-large vessels under the sulfur-restriction policy，the additional costs of liner operators under different measures are studied.Taking the 20 000 TEU vessels on the Asia-Europe route as an example，the annual cost analysis method and payback period method are used as primary methods to calculate the economic benefits of the main countermeasures for ultralarge container ships.The results show that,1)In the current economic environment，it is a main economical measure to install scrubbers” for ultra-large container ships；2）Through sensitivity analysis of oil prices and LNG prices，with these prices rising liner companies using LNGpowered vessels will be more economical.This research can provide reference for liner companies to make operating decisions under the new sulfur emission controlling rules.