福建省入境旅游的影响因素研究-《集美大学学报》（哲社版）

文章信息/Info

Author(s):: WENG Run; DAI Zhong -qiang; (College of Finance and Economics，Jimei University，Xiamen 361021，China)

摘要:: 从国际服务贸易的角度，利用了1997-2014年15个国家来福建旅游的数据，分析了福建省入境旅游人数与其影响因素之间的关系。结果发现，在直接标价法下，汇率上升，即人民币贬值，有利于增加福建省入境旅游人数，但是增加的幅度很小，大约人民币汇率每上升1%，福建省入境旅游人数会上升0.096 7%。客源国的收入水平和人口规模均与该国来福建省旅游人数呈正相关关系，但人口规模并不显著，客源国与福建省的距离和该国来福建省旅游人数呈负相关关系。同时还发现，2008年的经济危机并没有显著地减少福建省入境旅游人数。

Abstract:: Based on the data of foreign visitors from 15 countries to Fujian province from 1997 to 2013, this paper analyses the relationship between the number of the foreign visitors and factors that have an influence on it, from the perspective of international service trade. It is found that when the RMB exchange rate rose, which means the devaluation of RMB in direct quotation, the number of foreign visitors to Fujian province increased, but the extent of the increase was very small. Concretely, the number of foreign visitors increased by 0 .0967%, as RMB exchange rate increased by 1%. The income level and the population size of tourist source countries were positively correlated with the number of visitors, but the coefficient of population size was not significant. Conversely the distance between the tourist source countries and Fujian province were negatively correlated. It is also found that the 2008 economic crisis did not significantly decrease the number of foreign visitors to Fujian province.