|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]杨陈,陈庆海.新常态下我国地方政府性债务压力分析[J].集美大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2016,19(04):45-54.
 YANG Chen,CHEN Qing-hai.Pressure Analysis of the Local Government Debt in the Situation of New Normal[J].philosophy&social sciences,2016,19(04):45-54.
点击复制

新常态下我国地方政府性债务压力分析()
分享到:

《集美大学学报》(哲学社会科学版)[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
19
期数:
2016年04期
页码:
45-54
栏目:
出版日期:
2016-10-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Pressure Analysis of the Local Government Debt in the Situation of New Normal
作者:
杨陈1陈庆海12
(1.集美大学 财经学院,福建 厦门 361021;2.集美大学地方财政绩效研究中心,福建 厦门 361021)
Author(s):
YANG Chen1CHEN Qing-hai12
(1. College of Finance and Economics, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, China;2. Research Centre for Local Fiscal Performance, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, China)
关键词:
新常态政府性债务债务压力新增债务
Keywords:
New Normal government debt debt pressure added debt
分类号:
-
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
新常态下,地方政府偿债压力加大,债务规模激增。基于新常态的背景,建立相关模型,从民生及基础设施建设、扶贫及保障性住房建设、就业及社保基金缺口和新型城镇化等四个方面,定量测算各省级政府在2016—2020年的债务规模。然后用债务增长平衡系数和负债率两个指标来衡量各地的债务压力,发现黑龙江、辽宁等地债务增速迅猛,按时偿还到期债务是各地方政府面临的主要困境,而且青海、贵州和甘肃的负债率远超国际警戒线。在以上分析结果基础上得出了债务风险总体可控、局部加剧等相关结论,并提出加快经济发展、市场化改革、财税体制改革和建立地方政府债务风险评估体系等建议。
Abstract:
In the situation of New Normal, the pressure of local government debt repayment increases and the scale of debt surges. Based on the background of New Normal, a relative model was built to quantitatively measure the scale of debt of each provincial government from 2016 to 2020, from four aspects including the construction of livelihood and infrastructure, poverty alleviation and construction of security housing, employment and the gap of social security fund, and new urbanization. Afterwards, their debt pressure was measured by debt growth balance coefficient and debt ratio, which found the debt growth was swift in Heilongjiang, Liaoning and so on and repaying due debt on time was the main dilemma for each local government. Meanwhile, the debt ratio of Qinghai, Guizhou and Gansu was far more than international cordon. On the basis of result mentioned above, this paper makes some relative conclusion that the debt risk is controllable overall but aggravates locally, and offers some proposals including accelerating economy development, marketization reform, financial and tax system reform, and building evaluation system for the local government debt risk.

参考文献/References:

相似文献/References:

[1]王园,张仪华.新常态下海洋旅游与区域经济增长的冲击及协调[J].集美大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,20(04):37.
 WANG Yuan,ZHANG Yi-hua.Dialectic Relation and Shock between Marine Tourism and Regional Economic Growth in “New Normal” of Chinese Economy[J].philosophy&social sciences,2017,20(04):37.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
更新日期/Last Update: 2016-11-19