9—12届全运会积分榜弱势集团积分特征分析——以贵州省为例-《体育科学研究》

文章信息/Info

Title:: Characteristics Analysis of Disadvantaged Group of Championship Points in 9—12th National Games of the People＇s Republic of China——Taking Guizhou Province for Example

Author(s):: FAN Hong-bin; WANG Ai-ping; （College of Physical Education,Zunyi Medical College,Zunyi 563000,China）

Keywords:: National Games of the People＇s Republic of China; team score; disadvantaged Group; Guizhou province

摘要:: 为探索全运会参赛单位团体总分弱势集团的积分特征及竞技实力变化特点，研究通过文献法、专家咨询、数理统计法对9—12届全运会积分榜前10名、第三个10名及贵州省的得分率情况进行了分析。结果表明：9—12届全运会积分榜前10名与第三个10名竞技实力 “马太效应”显著；贵州省处于积分榜弱势集团，具有潜在的上升可能和下降风险；积分榜强势集团具有相对强势的稳定保持态势，弱势集团具有难以改变的趋弱走势；贵州省竞技实力与其得分项目的数量相适应，得分项目在难美表现性、格斗对抗性（中小级别）和“水上”等项目具有一定优势；男子竞技实力相对女子有趋强倾向；协议及奥运计分规则对贵州省竞技实力未发生实质性影响。通过研究，旨在为我国竞技实力弱势省份提供突破思路，为我国竞技体育的协调发展提供借鉴。

Abstract:: To explore integral score and competitive strength change characteristic of competitors unit of the group total score disadvantaged Groups,this paper researched the scoring ratio of the first 10,third 10 and Guizhou province in 9—12thNational Games of the People＇s Republic of China by literature method,expert advice,mathematical statistics method.The results shows:The “Matthew effect” is significant of top 10 and third 10＇s competitive strength in the 9—12th national games；Guizhou province is in disadvantaged group and has potential rising probability and falling risk；the strong group has relatively strong stable state and the disadvantaged group has the weakening trend；Guizhou province＇s Competitive strength is Corresponding to its project amounts and it has certain advantages in the performance of difficulty events,fighting against events(mediumsmall level) and aquatic sports；Men＇s competitive strength has a strong trend tendency than woman；The current level agreement and Olympic scoring has no material impact on competitive strength of Guizhou；This study is designed to provide breakthrough ideas for weak units and to coordinate development of competitive sports in China.

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